As I mentioned before, I have not looked into the origin of COVID-19, but there are two macro-facts that cause me to suspect the “lab leak” hypothesis might be true. First, it has always been quite the coincidence to have a coronovirus pandemic break out in the very city (and only city in China) where bat-related coronovirus research was being conducted.
Second, there is the simple fact that the government of China is communist and communist governments around the globe have a long track record of at least two things – lying and incompetence. Meaning that it’s not exatcly difficult to conceive of something like a “lab leak” occuring in a communist-run lab.
Furthermore, let’s face it – China has long behaved as if the lab leak hypothesis is true. Consider an investigative AP story that was just published:
The area is of intense scientific interest because it may hold clues to the origins of the coronavirus that has killed more than 1.7 million people worldwide. Yet for scientists and journalists, it has become a black hole of no information because of political sensitivity and secrecy.
A bat research team visiting recently managed to take samples but had them confiscated, two people familiar with the matter said. Specialists in coronaviruses have been ordered not to speak to the press. And a team of Associated Press journalists was tailed by plainclothes police in multiple cars who blocked access to roads and sites in late November.
More than a year since the first known person was infected with the coronavirus, an AP investigation shows the Chinese government is strictly controlling all research into its origins, clamping down on some while actively promoting fringe theories that it could have come from outside China.
The government is handing out hundreds of thousands of dollars in grants to scientists researching the virus’ origins in southern China and affiliated with the military, the AP has found. But it is monitoring their findings and mandating that the publication of any data or research must be approved by a new task force managed by China’s cabinet, under direct orders from President Xi Jinping, according to internal documents obtained by the AP. A rare leak from within the government, the dozens of pages of unpublished documents confirm what many have long suspected: The clampdown comes from the top.
While I a not saying the lab leak hypothesis is true or supported by the scientific evidence, I can say if the lab leak hypothesis turned out to be true, I would not be shocked or surprised.